#polymarket

The market has already spoken. A 78% probability is priced in for Spirit to...

The numbers look like a revolution. They're actually a concentration event....

Bitcoin just ripped its best five-day stretch in five months — a 15% surge th...

If a protocol is non-custodial, it is not a gambling platform. That was the...

The Korea Communications Commission just drew a line in the sand. Polymarket ...

Silence is the first vote in a true consensus. But when the Korean Broadcasti...

Hook When an Israeli Air Force officer was charged last week for using...

The price you see is a lie; the gas log tells the truth. Except there is no g...

Hook JPMorgan Chase & Co. terminated its banking relationship with Polymarket...

We are hunting for truth in a mirror maze of hype. The latest reflection come...

The rumor hit my terminal at 6:32 AM Hong Kong time. Kalshi, the CFTC-regulat...

Hook An $8.8 million bet on Donald Trump winning the 2024 election just...

Hook Over the past seven days, a single data point has been circling the...

Hook An $8.8 million Trump bet on Polymarket traces back to a political aide....

A sandbox is not a simulation. It is a promise of safety that rarely survives...

At 2:47 AM Tel Aviv time, the ticker moved. A prediction market for 'US...

Polymarket's $790M eSports Record: Tournament Pulse or Structural Moat? "Data...

"article":"In September 2024, Polymarket's daily trading volume crossed nine...

New York is seeking $36 billion in penalties from a company whose cumulative...

The trade itself was simple. A man with access to the words before they were...

A federal judge just halted Minnesota's attempt to criminalize prediction...

Hook Over the past 72 hours, on-chain data from Dune Analytics reveals a 40%...

The silence is the loudest sound. Twenty-five billion dollars flowed through...

Hook On February 12, 2025, the French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) issue...

Tracing the noise floor to find the alpha signal. Polymarket’s ‘2026 Iran-U.S...

Liquidity didn't vanish from Polymarket when France blocked its domain in...

The number is 46%. That’s the probability, as of this morning, that the...

Crypto Briefing reported a clean, auditable number: Polymarket assigns a 23%...

Hook Over the past 24 hours, Iran’s official statement vowing “full-scale...

An 8.5% probability. That’s the market’s verdict on a diplomatic meeting...

A U.S. soldier from New York is dead. The fourth in Iran-linked strikes. And ...

Over the past 72 hours, a single Polymarket contract—"Iran Closes Airspace by...

A probability of 23% appeared on Polymarket last week. The question: Will...

On April 12, 2025, a single data point flickered across the crypto macro rada...

28.5% to 43.5% in two days. A fifteen-point jump on the probability that Iran...

On May 23, a New York City mayor did something unprecedented: he urged the...

Over the past 48 hours, two data points emerged that cut through the sideways...

On April 1, 2025, a single data point crossed my screen: Polymarket's contrac...

Listen. Not to the pundits, not to the headlines — but to the silence between...

On July 14, 2024, at 14:32 UTC, a single wallet transferred 500,000 USDC to t...

Two U.S. soldiers dead. One missing. A direct hit on a forward operating base...

Silence in the slasher was the first warning sign. On May 24, 2024, a...

Prediction market contracts are whispering. Loudly. Over the past 72 hours,...

Over the past 72 hours, the odds of Iran's airspace shutting to commercial...

The number landed on my screen at 03:47 Manila time: 8.5% YES on the Polymark...

The market's whisper is a strange thing. It speaks in probabilities, not...

Tracing the ghost of the 2017 contract, I found a peculiar echo in the data....

Tracing the fault lines in a system’s logic — In the first half of 2025,...

73.5% YES. That’s what Polymarket’s “Iran will attack a Gulf state before Jul...

The Polymarket contract for ‘US invasion of Iran by 2027’ was priced at 27.5%...