#polymarket

New York is seeking $36 billion in penalties from a company whose cumulative...

The trade itself was simple. A man with access to the words before they were...

A federal judge just halted Minnesota's attempt to criminalize prediction...

Hook Over the past 72 hours, on-chain data from Dune Analytics reveals a 40%...

The silence is the loudest sound. Twenty-five billion dollars flowed through...

Hook On February 12, 2025, the French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) issue...

Tracing the noise floor to find the alpha signal. Polymarket’s ‘2026 Iran-U.S...

Liquidity didn't vanish from Polymarket when France blocked its domain in...

The number is 46%. That’s the probability, as of this morning, that the...

Crypto Briefing reported a clean, auditable number: Polymarket assigns a 23%...

Hook Over the past 24 hours, Iran’s official statement vowing “full-scale...

An 8.5% probability. That’s the market’s verdict on a diplomatic meeting...

A U.S. soldier from New York is dead. The fourth in Iran-linked strikes. And ...

Over the past 72 hours, a single Polymarket contract—"Iran Closes Airspace by...

A probability of 23% appeared on Polymarket last week. The question: Will...

On April 12, 2025, a single data point flickered across the crypto macro rada...

28.5% to 43.5% in two days. A fifteen-point jump on the probability that Iran...

On May 23, a New York City mayor did something unprecedented: he urged the...

Over the past 48 hours, two data points emerged that cut through the sideways...

On April 1, 2025, a single data point crossed my screen: Polymarket's contrac...

Listen. Not to the pundits, not to the headlines — but to the silence between...

On July 14, 2024, at 14:32 UTC, a single wallet transferred 500,000 USDC to t...

Two U.S. soldiers dead. One missing. A direct hit on a forward operating base...

Silence in the slasher was the first warning sign. On May 24, 2024, a...

Prediction market contracts are whispering. Loudly. Over the past 72 hours,...

Over the past 72 hours, the odds of Iran's airspace shutting to commercial...

The number landed on my screen at 03:47 Manila time: 8.5% YES on the Polymark...

The market's whisper is a strange thing. It speaks in probabilities, not...

Tracing the ghost of the 2017 contract, I found a peculiar echo in the data....

Tracing the fault lines in a system’s logic — In the first half of 2025,...

73.5% YES. That’s what Polymarket’s “Iran will attack a Gulf state before Jul...

The Polymarket contract for ‘US invasion of Iran by 2027’ was priced at 27.5%...

On Polymarket, the contract reads: 'Will XRP hit a new all-time high by...

Hook At 23:47 UTC on July 19, 2026, the final whistle blew in the Lusail...

The report hit my terminal at 14:23 UTC. "US strikes target Iranian military...

45.5% YES. That is the number Crypto Briefing served its readers yesterday: t...

The hearing room was silent for exactly three seconds. Then the lawyer droppe...

Over the past week, a single number has been haunting my terminal: 29.5%. Tha...

Tracing the fault lines in a system’s logic —a lawyer stands before a House...

Hook Forty-five point five percent. That’s the price Polymarket’s order book...

Hook: The Metric That Lies The prediction market speaks in cold numbers....

The ledger doesn't lie. But the market? It's a different kind of audit. Here ...

Reality check: A prediction market contract pegs the probability of Iran’s po...

Hook Listen. There’s a whisper in the data. Not from satellite imagery or...

Watching the ledger breathe beneath the noise, one learns that volatility is...

On Polymarket’s “Brent Crude Oil to Hit New All-Time High Before Q2” contract...

Polymarket odds just flashed a brutal signal: XRP has a 1.2% chance of...

A projectile hit near Shiraz. The news hit my terminal at 0347 UTC. Crypto...

On Polymarket, traders have placed their bets: Nvidia has a 61% chance of...

Polymarket, the prediction market that once boasted a $500 million cumulative...